Showing posts with label Massachusetts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Massachusetts. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 13, 2021

2021 NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament TV Ratings

With some familiar names to Frozen Four audiences, the 2021 NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament ended up bouncing back from a disastrous 2019.

Saturday's national championship game between Massachusetts and St. Cloud State, which saw the Minutemen shut out the Huskies 5-0 for the school's first men's hockey national championship, drew 435K viewers (and a .23 household rating and .13 18-49 demo rating) on ESPN. That total is up from the 321,000 viewers who watched the 2019 national championship game between Massachusetts and Minnesota Duluth.

The number is higher than the 402K number in 2013 when Yale hoisted the trophy over Quinnipiac, the last time the Frozen Four was hosted in Pittsburgh. However, that is the only other championship besides 2019 in that time period that drew a lower viewership than 2021's total.

This follows a Frozen Four semifinal round that saw a mixed bag ratings-wise. The early contest between in-state rivals Minnesota State and St. Cloud State drew an average of 117K viewers and a .03 18-49 demo rating. It's down from the 195K and .07 for UMD-Providence in 2019 and the lowest-rated Frozen Four semifinal on ESPN2 since 2004.

On the other side, the late game between Massachusetts and Minnesota Duluth, which did not end until Garrett Wait's OT winner at 12:15 AM ET, drew an average of 266K viewers and a .07 in the demo. Besides being Thursday's highest-rated program on ESPN2, the rematch outdrew the 213K/.06 for UMass-Denver two years ago. That game also went to overtime.

Despite featuring three BCS programs (Boston College, Minnesota, Wisconsin) and a proven college hockey TV draw in North Dakota as the top four overall seeds, none of the NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament's No. 1 seeds made it to Pittsburgh. It also did not help that national brands Michigan and Notre Dame, meanwhile, both withdrew from the tournament prior to playing due to Covid protocols.

However, 2021 did get some help compared to 2019's lows. Thursday night's game was ongoing during a time when all NHL games ended. In 2019, the Frozen Four needed to compete both nights with the first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

The 5 pm/9 pm local time (8:30 before 2018) semifinal time slot has been in place since 2014. In addition, Saturday's pregame show drew 252K viewers.

Frozen Four Championship Game Ratings (Since 2009):

2021: 435,000 (Massachusetts vs. St. Cloud State)

2020: No Tournament

2019: 321,000 (Minnesota Duluth vs. Massachusets)

2018: 653,000 (Minnesota Duluth vs. Notre Dame)

2017: 467,000 (Denver vs. Minnesota Duluth)

2016: 541,000 (North Dakota vs. Quinnipiac)**

2015: 635,000 (Providence vs. Boston University)

2014: 717,000 (Union vs. Minnesota)

2013: 402,000 (Yale vs. Quinnipiac)*

2012: 353,000 (Boston College vs. Ferris State)**

2011: 624,000 (Minnesota Duluth vs. Michigan)

2010: 526,000 (Boston College vs. Wisconsin)

2009: 656,000 (Boston University vs. Miami)

*This table uses total households from 2009-2013 and viewers from 2014-onward.

**Game aired on ESPN2 rather than ESPN

Regional Rounds:

In the regional rounds, five of the eight games on TV charted among the top-150 cable shows, which is four more than 2019. 

Sunday regional final games Minnesota-Minnesota State (216K on ESPN2) and Boston College-St. Cloud State (214K on ESPN2) each averaged above the 200K mark. 

Meanwhile, the 5 OT Saturday night classic between North Dakota and Minnesota Duluth drew an average of 167K viewers on ESPNU. To put it in context, that is the second-highest rated game on ESPNU since 2015. Only a 2017 NCAA Tournament game between Minnesota and Notre Dame drew more viewers and that game was on a Saturday afternoon rather than ending at 1:40 AM ET.

The other two games that charted were Wisconsin-Bemidji State (137K on ESPN2 in the 1 pm ET Friday slot) and UMass-Bemidji State (82K on ESPNU in the Saturday 5 pm ET slot).

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Monday, April 12, 2021

Column: In a year that needed one, Massachusetts writes the perfect hockey movie ending

In the Disney movie that will inevitably be made about this year's NCAA Division 1 men's hockey national champion, Massachusetts, there will be no shortage of dramatic moments to choose and highlight. 

Obvious ones exist, like losing the team's top goalscorer and goaltender right before the semifinal rematch against the two-time defending champions, the team that ended the Minutemen's dream in 2019. Coming back against that UMD team. The overtime winner from an unlikely combination, a Minnesota transfer in a tournament featuring three schools from the "State of Hockey" and the player suspended from the 2019 championship game. 

Getting back both top players prior to the championship game would be another dramatic high. So would Phillip Lagunov's highlight-reel shorthanded goal, crescendoing into the ultimate highlight of UMass shutting out St. Cloud State 5-0 and winning the national championship for the first time in school history.

Heck, this season itself, more than any, is one giant dose of drama that requires resilience weekly. 

This year's tournament ended up being unique with three teams eliminated by outside forces instead of inside an ice rink. The national champion was always going to be the team that survived the circumstances the best. In the end, that was Massachusetts. 

There is no asterisk on this title, just a slightly longer conversation about why this year's national championship is different than any other. That would be the case no matter who won. To not would be a disservice to the worthy champions who went through a year unlike any other, one featuring additional challenges on top of any normal ones any champion faces. 

Still, what makes Massachusetts' 2021 national championship is how normal the Minutemen's run felt in a season and NCAA Tournament that was anything but. 

UMass ended up being a dominant team, going unbeaten in its final 14 games and registering comparisons to 2014 Union or 2017 Denver's recent runs. Filip Lindberg allowed one goal in three games (Matt Murray allowed two in the UMD OT win) and the team scored 17 goals. After surviving an early shot off the crossbar and several St. Cloud State opportunities, Massachusetts went to work surgically taking apart a Huskies team that no one else was able to keep from coming back.

On the ice was enough of a story that it would be easy to overlook how Lindberg was not available for the semifinal, or the personal toll a yearlong global pandemic has taken. Head coach Greg Carvel mentioned it postgame, discussing how his father-in-law, a UMass philosophy professor, had recently passed away, in addition to Maine head coach Red Gendron, who passed away suddenly Friday, a one-time Massachusetts assistant. 

(College hockey honored Gendron with a moment of silence before the championship game.)

Carvel's team was bigger than its individual parts yet it would be wrong to ignore the talent of some of those individuals. Lindberg broke several NCAA Tournament records. Bobby Trivigno and Marc Del Gaizo showed their development from 2019. Zac Jones and Matthew Kessel developed into the next big Minuteman D while Carson Gicewicz and Garrett Wait became the latest transfers to make their mark. 

The best teams in college hockey in this era feature a mix of NHL-ready talent, college experience, high-end goaltending, and veteran leadership. Carvel built upon the Cale Makar/John Leonard/Mario Ferraro trio to get where he is now. It's no surprise that the Massachusetts championship team was one that does not feature a Hobey Baker Award winner or top national goalscorer.

It's hard not to be happy when Saturday's game concluded for all the UMass writers and fans I've known over the years. The program's recent success has been built upon flashes of fantastic moments surrounded by decades of despair. Winning a national championship becomes that much sweeter when the destination is paved with heartbreak, making it fitting for it to come following a season and program that captured all the highs and lows of college hockey,

Personally, however, the Massachusetts movie moment that sticks out features none of the current players. It involves a win, the only one the Minutemen had in a 23-game stretch to end a five-win 2016-17 season.

At the time, UMass snapped a five-game losing streak by defeating Alabama Huntsville 2-1 in OT at the Mariucci Classic. It was not as close as the score indicated. UAH, who went on to win nine games all season, dominated possession and shots, outshooting the Minutemen 30-19. The only shot UMass had in OT was the one that went in.

Despite winning, it was not a celebratory postgame with Coach Carvel. He was not happy with the performance, pointing out his best player on the ice was Brett Boeing, who played his first game transferring in from Michigan Tech. In his first season at UMass, it was nowhere near where he wanted to be. He made that apparent. After the postgame talk, he said there were future plans. He liked who was coming in next season and knew where this program was going. Things would be better.

Again, this was the high point in the midst of one giant low.

I remember coming away from the conversation impressed with Carvel, but also thinking, "I can't believe he left St. Lawrence for this. Hope he's right because it's a story I've heard too many times before." 

Turns out, this is one story I had not. Carvel was right. Boeing ended his career as one of four 2016-17 players playing in the 2019 national title game, the rest graduating or cut. As for his coach, things were better, going from one win in his final 23 games of his first year at UMass, to four at the end of Carvel's fifth season, leading the Minutemen to a national championship and sustained program success.

And the perfect movie ending.

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Friday, April 9, 2021

2021 Frozen Four: 4 Thoughts From A Classic Pair Of Frozen Four Semifinals

Maybe it is because the Minnesota High School Hockey Tournament just happened last week. Maybe it is because there were three Minnesota teams. Regardless, the Frozen Four had a real "The Tourney" feel.

The unofficial North Star College Cup kicked off Thursday with an early semifinal between Minnesota State and St. Cloud State that saw the Huskies win 5-4. SCSU will face Massachusetts, who defeated two-time defending champion Minnesota Duluth 3-2 in overtime, for Saturday's national championship. One of these two teams will be the first first-time national champion since Yale in 2013.

Watching three Minnesota teams represent the Gopher State in the Frozen Four is a proud moment. College hockey continues to grow, as does hockey in America. It no longer is the land of East vs. West, of Minnesota vs. Massachusetts (albeit in a Frozen Four featuring solely Minnesota and Massachusetts teams, still, none were Minnesota nor BU).

The sport keeps growing and getting better yet the Minnesota community model continues to work. The 2021 Frozen Four caps off what has been a decade of success throughout the state.

It's also something seen in the HS Tournament. Seeing three teams Thursday from three different parts of the state representing their sections, at times was a blast from the past. The 2015 and 2020 Minnesota Mr. Hockeys were on the ice. Minnesota State had its Elk River connection with Jake Jaremko and Reggie Lutz (newly signed Florida Panther and North Dakota D Matt Kiersted was also on that 2015 team, who didn't even make the tourney). Ryan Sandelin knows a few things about winning at Hermantown, as does UMD's Cole Koepke. Several others who made HS Tournament memories popped up throughout the night.

All in all, it was a cool night to be a Minnesotan watching college hockey, even if the team I regularly cover more than any other was not one of the participants.

Here are four more thoughts:

1. It was unfortunate a team had to lose an entertaining game between Minnesota State and St. Cloud State.

In fact, the real loser of Thursday's opening semifinal was the "Minnesota State and St. Cloud State can't show up in the NCAA Tournament" narrative. May it be dead for good.

After both teams spent the regional rounds coming back from early deficits, both came back against one another Thursday, Once again, the Mavericks erased a 3-1 lead thanks in part to Nathan Smith and a pair of seniors. Dallas Gerad gave Minnesota State the lead by crashing the net and being in the right place at the right time for a Walker Duehr pass. Despite the end result, Mike Hastings' team can leave with their heads held high. It would have been easy for the game to be over at 3-1, or after St. Cloud State scored 10 seconds following a Maverick goal. In the end, Minnesota State outshot the Huskies after a slow opening 5-7 minutes.

However, the win goes to St. Cloud State getting its Virginia men's basketball moment of postseason redemption. The Huskies, winning after trailing for the third time in three games, reached its first-ever national championship game with a last-minute goal and a third-period comeback.

Two years ago, the Huskies were the No. 1 overall seed and lost in the opening round. Three years ago, the Huskies were the No. 1 overall seed and lost in the opening round. Five years ago, the Huskies were the No. 2 overall seed and lost in the opening round. When I did the "60 Days. 60 Teams. 600 Words (or Less)" series, St. Cloud State's entry had the following for the closing thoughts:

No team's accomplished what SCSU did - both good and bad. Without diving into stats and how the program develops diamonds in the rough alongside first-round picks, the Huskies were 2018-19's ideal college hockey team. St. Cloud State, winning the difficult NCHC by nearly 20 points, didn't peak too early and never could be counted out of games. However, once the NCAA Tournament hit, the team looked unrecognizable to the one who dominated all season. 

Both regular-season and postseason success matter. However, unfortunately for SCSU what happens in April matters enough where the Huskies won't be the Minnesota school remembered the most over the last two seasons. Still, SCSU has done more than enough between October and mid-March to be a team that other fanbases want to beat instead of being numb about the upsets piling up. 

I hope, not out of spite, opposing fanbases buy AIC sweaters or bring up the loss more. My worry is, if ignored again, this marks yet another time, like Ferris State and Air Force before, where St. Cloud State's massive upset was brushed off nationally like no one cared. Hopefully, for SCSU's sake, opposing fanbases do. They should. At the end of the day, apathy at accomplishments is more disappointing than losing as the No. 1 overall seed in back-to-back years. 

 Instead of being Virginia basketball, the Huskies went from #GoHuskiesWOOOOO to #NoHuskiesWOOOOOF, repeating the same losing trick. Despite expecting Larson's squad to continue to be an annual NCHC regular-season contender, it's going to take a Cavalier-type turnaround in March/April to change perception.

Consider perception changed, Huskies fans.

2. Welcome to St. Cloud State hockey immortality, Nolan Walker.

For years, the Walker tip past Dryden McKay will be remembered and replayed in highlights. The game-winning goal with 53.2 seconds remaining was the final effort of a solid game from Walker, who continues to be St. Cloud State's most efficient forward in the postseason. The Anchorage native continues to create chances and set up others. He fed Kyler Kupka for the second SCSU goal before continuing what has become a recent Frozen Four semifinal tradition: scoring a last-minute game-winning goal. 

Since Justin Holl's infamous 0.6 goal in 2014 against North Dakota, there have now been four other last-minute winners. After Holl, Nick Schmaltz did it for the Fighting Hawks in 2016. Then it was UMD's Alex Iafallo against Harvard in 2017. Notre Dame's Jake Evans did it in 2018 in the final 6 seconds versus Michigan before Walker added his name to the list Thursday.

Like every team needs this time of year, St. Cloud State, missing Easton Brodzinski, needs its top players to step up. Walker did so, but he's not the only Huskies player to make their mark in Pittsburgh. On a day where fourth liners across both teams scored four goals, Joel Molenaar made the most of his first collegiate goal, tying the game at four with 9:46 remaining in regulation.

By the way, Molenaar is no stranger to championships. He helped lead Minnetonka to the 2018 Minnesota HS Class AA championship, scoring a goal (the eventual GWG) and dishing out two assists in the championship win against Duluth East.

3. Wait, wait don't tell me the Minnesota Duluth quest for a three-peat has ended?

Speaking of folks who are no strangers, Garrett Wait, the former Gopher forward who transferred to UMass during the last offseason, became the first person in 36 years to score an NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament overtime goal on the Bulldogs. It's great to see the Edina native find success on this big stage after helping lead Edina to a Class AA high school title as a sophomore. Wait, who committed in 2014 at age 16 to Don Lucia, never seemed to fit in with Bob Motzko's system. I'm happy for him.

Massachusetts, after dominating the overtime portion of the game, advances to its second consecutive national championship game after defeating the team who beat the Minutemen two years ago. Credit for the OT goal should also go to another player who wasn't there two years ago, Bobby Trivigno. The Walter Brown Award winner for the best American playing in New England missed the 2019 national championship game after being suspended for a hit against Denver. He did all the work, controlling the puck down low, coming out of nowhere and feeding Wait to cap a brilliant game for him.

3a. With a major storyline coming in being how UMass would be affected by losing its starting goaltender and leading scorer, the end result was: Not much.

Matt Murray (no, not that one) continued to play like Matt Murray in Pittsburgh (yes, that one) as expected. He kept the Minutemen in when needed during parts of the first and second period when Minnesota Duluth was at its best. Carson Gicewicz was missed - thankfully he and Filip Lindberg appear to be available for Saturday's championship game - but the key to Massachusetts' success has been its depth. That depth made itself known against the Bulldogs on Thursday night.

That is not to say Minnesota Duluth was anything but its Scott Sandelin-led best. Entering the game with one regulation win in its last eight games, the Bulldogs played like the favorites. 

This was postseason UMD at its best for 2.5 periods. Minnesota Duluth limited mistakes, blocked as many shots as it allowed through, and made its opponent work for every opportunity. When the Bulldogs trailed for the first time in 352:32 of NCAA Tournament gameplay, it was a matter of when not if, UMD would get the tying goal. Both came from similar spots, crashing the net and catching UMass in an awkward position.

In the end, Massachusetts' depth compared to Minnesota Duluth's use of a short bench was too much. Where it successfully worked in the five OT classic against North Dakota, the Minutemen were the much-rested team in overtime.

4. What does this mean to the Minnesota Duluth dynasty?

Trying to put together what Minnesota Duluth's run means will take some time. It's beyond impressive. Yet I don't think four consecutive Frozen Fours, three national titles in a decade, and a constant presence at the top of the NCAA Tournament in an age of parity can be truly appreciated for what it has been in the moment.

What makes the Minnesota Duluth dynasty is the consistency. Teams know the blueprint of how to beat UMD. Until Thursday, none were able in a four-year NCAA Tournament stretch. Even then, the second period and parts of the third period were vintage Bulldog hockey. UMass was suffocated in front of the net, given limited opportunities much like the 2019 championship game. Where most teams are unable to take advantage of the few mistakes and opportunities, the Minutemen eventually did. 

And despite that, it took plenty of work.

What impresses me about Minnesota Duluth, beyond the nine straight NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament wins and six straight OT wins since 2016, is how there is no one size fit all title recipe. The Bulldogs win in different ways and types of teams. Sandelin coached a blue line featuring five underclassmen to a title. He won one with the weight of the world expectations that come with being the defending champion. He built the 2017 team over a long stretch then turned around and survived heavy early losses that take teams multiple seasons to recover. This year's squad overachieved its expectations. 

More than anything, the mixture of NHL talent (both drafted and undrafted developed), experience, good goaltending, and veteran leadership that Sandelin thrives in is becoming the blueprint for college hockey success in this era. Teams need a Nick Swaney or a Karson Kuhlman. (It's also no surprise Minnesota Duluth's golden era comes directly after one with Hermantown and Duluth East, but that's another story.) We are seeing it in some ways Saturday night with the Sandelin coaching tree representing St. Cloud State and Brett Larson.

These are things that will stand out more and be appreciated with more time passing by. Plus, UMD's dynasty run is not over yet. 

Bonus Leftovers: The TV booth had a rough night at times with multiple mixups and missed names - Minnesota State (insert one of three new nicknames) forward Nathan Smith is forever known as Davis for some reason - but the ESPN intermission presentation was A+. There were no attempts to get away from the game or invoke Masters talk. I enjoyed Sean Ritchlin and Mike Mottau's analysis. It hit that sweet spot between placating college hockey diehards and getting casual fans up to speed. 

Minnesota Duluth being able to hide Ryan Fanti not being in Pittsburgh until right before gametime is some combination of ridiculous and coaching oneupmanship.

Not being at the Frozen Four in person for the first time in years was even more awkward than I thought it would be.

RIP WCHA men's hockey league.

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Tuesday, April 6, 2021

2021 Frozen Four: Why Your Team Can Win It All

Frozen Four week has arrived. 

After a season unlike any other, and an NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament regional weekend featuring all kinds of craziness on and off the ice, the final four teams hopefully will play for a national championship game berth on Thursday. 

(Hopefully, because this is 2021. There are no guarantees, as St. Lawrence, Notre Dame, and Michigan, unfortunately, know all too well. And now UMass does too.) 

UMass, Minnesota State, St. Cloud State, and Minnesota Duluth each got through regionals filled with upsets, comebacks, dominating performances, and legendary overtimes to get through to Pittsburgh. It would not be a surprise for any of these four teams to end Saturday night by lifting the national championship trophy.

Minnesota State and St. Cloud State face off in the opening semifinal at 5:00 pm ET/4:00 pm CT Thursday. Minnesota Duluth and Massachusetts, meanwhile, play at 9:00 pm ET/8:00 pm CT. ESPN2 carries both games.

Prior to the regionals, I previewed all 16 teams by how each will 1) win the national championship, and 2) lose in the first round. True to form, a No. 1 seed (Wisconsin) lost in the first round for the 15th straight NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament. (Another, Boston College, lost its first game after moving onto the regional final due to Notre Dame withdrawing.) This time around, I will be doing the same for non-pandemic-related reasons.

In addition, I am adding three more names to watch in addition to how cheerable each of the four teams is from a neutral fan perspective.

Massachusetts (18-5-4):

Why the Minutemen will win its first national championship: Of all four teams, Massachusetts looked the most dominant during its regional run. The Minutemen outscored its opponents by a combined 9-1 to extend its unbeaten streak to 12 games. Carson Gicewicz had four of those, extending his team-leading total to 17. Filip Lindberg again showed why he is deserving to be discussed among the nation's top goaltenders, stopping 48 of 49 shots and keeping both games close early when needed.

Oftentimes the NCAA Tournament rewards the hot team at the right time. Right now that's Massachusetts, as no team has played as well down the stretch compared to the Minutemen. Add in Bobby Trivigno entering the Frozen Four with a chip on his shoulder and this veteran group has both the NCAA Tournament experience and talent to go all the way after finishing second in 2019. 

Why the Minutemen will lose to UMD: It's not 2019...but it would be tough not to remember how 2019 went before the 2021 rematch.

Scott Sandelin's team was able to neutralize Massachusetts' strengths in ways no one else did. While Greg Carvel will get the opportunity to make adjustments and be going against a different Bulldogs squad, UMass will need to show it can take advantage of the few opportunities Minnesota Duluth gives. After all, UMD did take out another top team in North Dakota.

Another, non-history reason why Massachusetts could fall short is the number of penalties UMass took in the Bridgeport Regional. A normally disciplined team gave up a combined 11 power plays to Lake Superior State and Bemidji State. The Minutemen killed all 11, however, it is playing with fire if it continues.

And as a late addition, UMass announced Tuesday morning it would be without both leading goal scorer Gicewicz and starting goaltender Lindberg (in addition to two others) for Thursday's game due to Covid contact tracing. The Minutemen have a ringer in goalie Matt Murray (no, not that one), who has 84 career games of experience, and the depth to keep going, but a challenge becomes that much greater. It is not guaranteed that only those four miss too.

Neutral fans should cheer if: Are you from the East Coast or any place not named Minnesota? Then UMass might be the team for you in this Frozen Four. Unlike the other three teams, Massachusetts is not based in the Gopher State.

Three more players to watch: Besides the aforementioned #24 D- Zac Jones (NYR), #35 G- Filip Lindberg (MIN), #8 F- Bobby Trivigno (undrafted), keep an eye on #11 F- Carson Gicewicz (undrafted), #4 D- Matthew Kessel (STL), #2 D- Marc Del Gaizo (NSH)

Minnesota State (22-4-1):

Why the Mavericks will win its first national championship: Minnesota State won two NCAA Tournament games. Why not two more?

The Mavericks got its elusive NCAA Tournament win, coming back from a 3-1 third-period deficit to defeat Quinnipiac in OT thanks to a Ryan Sandelin goal. Number two came easier once number one happened, shutting out a potent Minnesota offense that scored seven goals the night before. Since going down 3-1, Minnesota State scored seven consecutive goals en route to taking down the ECAC and Big Ten champions. Turns out the key to not blowing an early multi-goal lead was coming back from a multi-goal deficit.

It is important that Minnesota State was able to win two games in two different ways. It also helps Mike Hastings' team enters its first Frozen Four with the best possession offense. Mixed with its defense and Dryden McKay, who showed against Minnesota that he is more than capable of stealing games at the highest level, and the Mavericks have a recipe for success against the Huskies and the UMass/UMD winner.

Why the Mavericks will lose to SCSU: Comparing the four teams, Hastings and Minnesota State have the least Frozen Four experience. In addition to being the first in school history, Hastings never made the Frozen Four as an assistant (something St. Cloud State head coach Brett Larson can claim). The Mavericks are college hockey's winningest program over the past six seasons, but getting two wins at the Frozen Four is a different experience.

In addition, Larson and the Huskies routed Minnesota State 7-2 last season when the two teams played at the Mariucci Classic. While both are different teams, the way St. Cloud State defeated the Mavericks - scoring early and putting pressure on Minnesota State - has been a successful blueprint for several WCHA teams this season. It is something worth keeping an eye on for Thursday afternoon.

Neutral fans should cheer if: What do you think about fairy-tale endings? The team that could never win in the NCAA Tournament, the one that had its most talented team last season not get its chance, the one representing the final opportunity for a seven-decade-old WCHA to get one last title, would be one for the group in southern Minnesota.

Three more players to watch: Besides the aforementioned #8 F- Nathan Smith (WPG), #5 F- Jake Jaremko (Undrafted), #29 G- Dryden McKay (Undrafted), #14 F - Ryan Sandelin (Undrafted), #15 F- Julian Napravnik (Undrafted), #23 D - Jake Livingstone (Undrafted)

St. Cloud State (19-10-0):

Why the Huskies will win its first national championship: No line in the previous set of previews aged better than "St. Cloud State has been at its best in the NCAA Tournament when expectations are lowered." The Huskies made the most of being a No. 2 seed, coming back in back-to-back games against Boston schools to advance to its second Frozen Four (and second FF held in Pittsburgh).  

Coming into the Frozen Four, St. Cloud State continues to fly under the radar as much as a team can in college hockey's final weekend. Showing resilience, the team continues to be a tough out. That's beyond important this time of single-elimination year. The Huskies got two solid performances from David Hrenak, along with a depth of scoring throughout the lineup. Micah Miller stepping up in the Albany Regional and scoring in both games was a positive sign; especially given the injury Easton Brodzinski suffered.

Why the Huskies will lose to Minnesota State: St. Cloud State will need to play without its leading goal scorer after Brodzinski suffered a season-ending injury in the win over Boston College. The Huskies players showed they were capable of winning against top teams with players like Miller and Nolan Walker stepping up. Still, they will need to do it two more times. Missing Brodzinski's 13 goals makes it an easier task for McKay and the Mavericks defense.

At the same time, as much as the ability to come back from an early deficit can be a strength, it can also be a detriment if relied upon constantly. There are only so many times a team can come back before it comes back to bite them, as Minnesota State showed in the Loveland Regional final. 

Neutral fans should cheer if: Were you a fan of the Virginia NCAA men's basketball redemption story from 2019? Because St. Cloud State is essentially the NCAA men's hockey version of Virginia times 2 or 3. Add in the underdog story and overcoming injury and you could go much worse in picking a team to cheer for as a neutral fan.

Three more players to watch: Besides #29 F- Veeti Miettinen (TOR) and #19 F- Sam Hentges (MIN) (Brodzinski was originally the third), #25 D- Nick Perbix (TBL), #34 G- David Hrenak (LAK), #20 F- Nolan Walker (undrafted)

Minnesota Duluth (15-10-1):

Why the Bulldogs will win its fourth national championship: The same reason why Minnesota Duluth won its second and third championships: Ric Flair rules. To be the man, you got to beat the man. Until proven otherwise, no one is beating the Bulldogs come tourney time.

It wasn't pretty. It wasn't easy. After nearly seeing a late 2-0 lead disappear against No. 1 overall seed North Dakota, UMD survived three OT posts and an overturned goal to win the longest NCAA Hockey Tournament game (both the program's ninth straight NCAA Tournament and OT win). Both Ryan Fanti and Zach Stejskal showed up in goal and the Bulldogs got a winning goal from an unlikely source in Luke Mylymok. Add in the experience from Scott Sandelin and UMD's leadership group of Nick Swaney, Noah Cates and Cole Koepke, and the championship framework remains.

Minnesota Duluth has both won only one of its last eight games in regulation and can be considered a favorite. That's the duality of being the team to beat in the NCAA Tournament. 

Why the Bulldogs will lose to UMass: At a certain point, going beyond the one win - as magnificent as it was - takes away a little bit of the shine. It was one win. Minnesota Duluth did not need to play a second game after first-round opponent Michigan withdrew from the tournament. Against North Dakota, the Bulldogs were outshot and gave up the majority of Grade A opportunities. 

Playing UMass, the Minutemen are older, more experienced, and feature more depth than when the two teams met in Buffalo two years ago. The team is comfortably winning both tight, defensive games against hot goalies (see: UMass Lowell win) and offensive shootouts. If Massachusetts, the closest team remaining to UND stylistically, can follow a similar plan, cashing in on its opportunities like UMass has throughout its unbeaten streak and others against UMD have during the last six weeks, it would not be a surprise to see the run end.

Neutral fans should cheer if: Do you like dynasties? How you answer will decide whether or not Minnesota Duluth will be the team for you. The Bulldogs can become the first team since Michigan in the 1950s to win three consecutive national championships and the first to ever reach four consecutive national championship games with a win Thursday. If that works, welcome aboard the Bulldogs Express. If not, well there are three other teams to cheer.

Three more players to watch: Besides #23 F- Nick Swaney (MIN), #17 F- Cole Koepke (TBL), #5 D- Wyatt Kaiser (CHI), #20 F- Jackson Cates (Undrafted), #10 F- Kobe Roth (Undrafted), #22 D- Matt Cairns (EDM) 

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If you enjoyed this blog, you can follow Nate on Twitter and like/subscribe to his Facebook page. Thanks!

Monday, March 29, 2021

16 Thoughts From NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament Regional Weekend

If the big, non-pandemic-related story coming into the NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament was the return of college hockey's blueblood programs at the top, it is no longer a story. North Dakota, Boston College, Minnesota, and Wisconsin were the tournament's top four overall seeds.

None of the four will be going to Pittsburgh.

Instead, the continued rise of the sport's new blood rolls onto the Steel City. The last two teams to play in the Frozen Four - two-time champion Minnesota Duluth and 2019 national runner-up Massachusetts - are joined by two of the sport's most consistent schools over the past 5 years in St. Cloud State and Minnesota State. Only Minnesota Duluth sponsored D1 men's hockey before the mid-1980s. The Bulldogs appeared in as many Frozen Four appearances this decade as the other three teams have in total.

These four being 2021's remaining four is not quite due to parity. Taking out Michigan, who withdrew from the tournament prior to its opening game due to Covid protocol and positive tests, and the four Frozen Four participants were the next four highest seeds playing after the No. 1 seed quartet. Each had plenty of recent NCAA Tournament experience, both good and bad. 

Experience matters over pure skill. It showed this weekend compared to the No. 1 seeds, each of whom returned to the NCAA Tournament after multiple years away. Besides UMass, none of the four remaining schools played its best hockey over the final two weekends before the NCAA Tournament. Those went down one after another. The No. 1 seeds, talented as all are and looked at times, were unable to adjust or find that extra goal in single-elimination hockey.

This Frozen Four may be compiled of familiar names and stories, however, for several, it comes after years of squads with higher ceilings falling short. Coincidentally or not, these four teams were the four No. 1 seeds in 2019.

These are not the most talented recent teams from each of the four Frozen Four schools. Minnesota State finally got its elusive NCAA Tournament win, a year after its upperclassmen-led squad 2020 missed out on a chance to end the 0-6 streak. St. Cloud State beat back the narrative of three massive upsets in five seasons. UMass returns with Cale Makar, Mario Ferraro and John Leonard. Even Minnesota Duluth, the two-time champion, goes for its third with a team that features more question marks than any of the three previous Frozen Four squads.

But none of that matters. What does, and what was given importance in this year, is that in the current age of parity and the fine line between winning and losing, the NCAA Tournament does not reward the best teams. It rewards the best teams to handle the situation. 

These four have the experience to do so.

Here are 16 more thoughts from a wild NCAA Tournament regional weekend.

1. Minnesota State ended the West Regional celebrating while Van Halen's "Top of the World" played over the Loveland speakers. Honestly, it came a little over 24 hours late.

After two straight NCAA Tournaments where the Mavericks led by multiple goals early before collapsing late, Mike Hastings' squad came from behind late to defeat Quinnipiac in overtime. Ryan Sandelin's OT goal ended a 25-year long streak to put Minnesota State and its fanbase on top of the world.

And to be honest, getting the first win led to an easier second. The Mavericks, after being a minute away from another loss and coming off being blown out by Northern Michigan, looked more like the team that shut down the WCHA, besting Minnesota at its own game a day after the Gophers blew out Omaha. Dryden McKay had an easy night for his 24th career shutout.

That's the difference one game can make. That's the difference one night can do for a generation of perception.

2. Can the North Star College Cup come back?

Even before this weekend, the past decade has been a golden age of men's college hockey in Minnesota. Since college hockey's last realignment in 2013, there has not been a year where multiple Minnesota teams finish in the top-10. Dozens of recent banners from the three western conferences hang in arena rafters. 2019 had the top-3 NCAA Tournament seeds all be from the "State of Hockey."

Herb Brooks would be proud for years before this weekend. Still, this might be the best three days in the state's history. All five schools made the same NCAA Tournament for the first time. All five schools won at least one game. Three will represent the state in the Frozen Four, becoming only the second time one state has had three representatives (Michigan in 1992 being the other).

Outside of them not playing nice with one another, the biggest disappointment among the Minnesota schools has been not getting the attention and respect the schools deserve. College hockey has never been better in the state and, up until this season, attention has never been lower. Hopefully, this weekend changes that.

3. The first-game crazies continued this year with Bemidji State upsetting Wisconsin. Since 2007, eight upsets have taken place in the Friday afternoon slot. That does not include crazy opening games where the favored team eventually won, like Yale taking Boston University to OT in 2015, or Michigan Tech nearly upsetting Notre Dame in 2018. Whether it is the afternoon time or added attention, that slot seems to bring out weird results.

The Beavers also added to the streak of at least one No. 4 seed upsetting a No. 1 seed every tournament since 2006. Might be something to remember for next year's bracket when the rest of your pool has four No. 1 seeds playing in the Frozen Four. (Signed, someone whose bracket had a perfect Bridgeport Regional.)

4. There was no better summary of Wisconsin's season than the Badgers playing six forwards in an attempt to overcome a two-goal deficit. As good as Cole Caufield's season was - his 30 goals in 31 games were the best goal-scoring per game margin of any D1 men's college hockey player in the 21st century - Wisconsin needed its forward group to overcome the "cold" days of its hot and cold goaltending. Caufield had two goals, several more chances, and was a pro before the first round was over.

5. What is left to say about the Minnesota Duluth-North Dakota 5 OT Classic? The longest game in NCAA Hockey Tournament history, men's or women's, became one of the few college hockey events that broke through to the casual sports fan. It passed the "non-hockey friends and parents text you about it" test.

For those up Saturday night, the Fargo Regional final was a magical event where Sunday morning you felt like part of a club for staying up to 1:40 AM ET. This game, from start to end of regulation to the goalie change to the posts and no goals to Luke Mylymok's winner, will be brought up for years to come. 

The longer the Bulldogs and Fighting Hawks battled, the higher the tension became. North Dakota looked like it would end the game multiple times, hitting three posts in OT after coming back from 2-0 down with less than two minutes to play. UND also had the luxury of a potential Minnesota Duluth game-winning OT goal called off for the slimmest of offsides.

In the end, UMD's OT streak lives on for another day. The Bulldogs have won nine straight OT games in the NCAA Tournament dating back to 1985. It's the fifth straight tournament where the team needed an extra period to win its opening game. Scott Sandelin prepares his team for the occasion and finds ways to win.

It's unfortunate someone had to lose because for the fans watching, everyone won. 

6. Massachusetts forward Carson Gicewicz was the player of the weekend, scoring four goals. The Sandelins (Ryan and Scott) easily end up being the family of the weekend with a pair of Frozen Four trips and legendary stories.

7. More than any of the other No. 1 seeds, North Dakota showcased the cruelty of single-elimination hockey. The Fighting Hawks had the talent and ability to score in bunches, doing so both against AIC and Minnesota Duluth, and the majority of overtime chances in the Fargo regional final. Like the Minnesota State win over Quinnipiac where the Mavericks controlled play late in the third and OT, no one would be surprised to see the Fighting Hawks end UMD's NCAA Tournament streak and dethrone the national champion. Unfortunately, two years of being the top team in college hockey end short of a Frozen Four appearance.

8. Speaking of single-elimination hockey cruelty, College Hockey News' Greg Cameron tweeted this photo of Quinnipiac's seniors taking their time in what could be their last collegiate game.



It's a common reality in a sport where all except 1 team ends the year with a loss. This time of year is full of awkward and difficult postgame press conferences where seniors come in still wearing their uniforms 10-15 minutes removed from their final appearance. I need two hands to count the number of times I've had to console players. Anyone who says they don't care has no idea what they are saying.

While this season is different than all other seasons because of the extra year of eligibility, it's still a reminder the rosters will be different next year. Players will be graduating and moving on with their lives.

9. And now for something somewhat similar: The WCHA is not dead yet.

For a while on Saturday afternoon, it looked like the WCHA's nearly seven decades of sponsoring men's hockey would be coming to an end with almost simultaneous losses by Bemidji State and Minnesota State. The Mavericks came back to buck the trend and in the process became the first WCHA team post-realignment (and first since St. Cloud State went to Pittsburgh in its only other Frozen Four appearance in 2013) to make the Frozen Four. 

It was a big weekend for the WCHA, which saw more wins in three days than it had in the seven previous seasons post-realignment. Only Ferris State (2014 and 2016) had won NCAA Tournament games.

When given the chance for the thing casual sports fans in Minnesota wrongly have been saying for a while - that Don Lucia (now the commissioner of the CCHA that 7 of the remaining WCHA schools are reviving) and the Gophers - to technically happen, the Hockey Gods said see you on next Thursday.

10. The moment I knew this was a different St. Cloud State team than in years past came Saturday afternoon following Boston University's opening goal.

After failing to score on a five-minute first period major and going down 1-0 eight seconds into the second period, the Huskies spent multiple shifts creating chances. David Hrenak made a couple of good saves. The energy was different on the bench than in 2016, 2018 and 2019, where once things went wrong there was almost a panic by St. Cloud State to make it right. Goalies can steal games this time of year (and that pretty much happened in 2018 against Air Force), however, teams can make it easy with shot selection and scoring chances. I knew once AIC went up 2-0 in 2019 that this was doomed for a repeat.

SCSU did not play tight. There were no heads down. The Huskies continued to work to create chances. It paid off with a pair of goals inside a minute against BU, a penalty shot goal, and a similar performance the next afternoon after going down 1-0 against a rested Boston College team and losing Easton Brodzinski to injury. 

Speaking of the two Boston teams, I am curious to see how each looks next season. Both could see several players leave for the pros. As of this writing, one - BU defender David Farrance - already signed an NHL entry-level contract after returning for his senior year. BC's Matt Boldy, Alex Newhook and Spencer Knight could all leave early. BU's Jay O'Brien is a first-round pick three years removed from being selected by Philadelphia.

10a. The aforementioned penalty shot goal.



10b. That bit about St. Cloud State being at its best when expectations are lowest turned out to be accurate. The same can be said with how Wisconsin could be upset and Massachusetts can win. Let's not discuss the part about the Gophers getting better as the weekend goes on, though.

11. For the first time in a long time, I did not spend the weekend at a regional. Following along on TV, two standouts were Leah Hextall doing play-by-play at the Fargo regional with Dave Starman, and Colby Cohen being the third man in at Bridgeport and the studio Sunday. It would be great to see both get expanded roles when ESPN gets the NHL rights back next season.

Ben Holden and Fred Pletsch were fantastic in the West Regional. It's been a blast getting the pairing back this season on BTN for Big Ten games. Having a studio with live coverage to react made a big difference. It could get repetitive by the end of the weekend watching 10 games but original commentary beats showing the same segment 10 times.

12. On the other hand, there were way too many errors in graphics and player names for what should be college hockey's premiere weekend. I understand that storylines are going to be promoted and simplified for people who are not following along all season. This was not the case. Too many small mistakes brought down what was a good weekend of coverage otherwise.

Also, has anyone else ever abbreviated Nebraska Omaha as NEOM?

13. This might need to be a bigger future article diving into Massachusetts but Greg Carvel's team's regional success of late is the "win close games" exception that proves the rule. In the four regional games in 2019 and 2021, the Minutemen outscored its opponents 17-1. Ashton Calder's goal Friday night for Lake Superior State is the only one Filip Lindberg has given up. 

Alongside Carson Gicewicz's four goals (including his first collegiate hat trick that John Buccigross willed into existence - the first natural hat trick in the NCAA Tournament since Jarid Lukosevicius in the 2017 National Championship Game), Lindberg was outstanding all weekend. Splitting time with Matt Murray, he may not get the respect or award nominations that several others of Lindberg's contemporaries do. After another weekend performance like this, Lindberg should. 

14. Another thought that likely needs to be its own article is where Minnesota goes from here. The Gophers took a massive step forward in Bob Motzko's third and the program's 100th season. Minnesota built upon past success and a solid 2019-20 second half to return to the country's elite. 

Minnesota is going in the right direction mixing skill and veteran players. Of all the Big Ten teams, Motzko is closest to perfecting his ratio. I thought the Gophers utilized its depth well against Omaha before having no answer for Minnesota State. Scott Reedy and Sampo Ranta scored, but so did Mason Nevers (0 entering the game) and Ryan Johnson (1 ENG in two seasons). 

There will be changes for next season even before the opening of the transfer portal and the possibility of an extra senior season. While early departures and seniors leaving are to be expected, the defensive core should remain intact, which is good news on both sides of the ice. Jared Moe will get his chance in goal after a Mike Richter Top-3 season (and possibly more) from Jack LaFontaine. 

It's a team that has a lot to look forward to yet also a season that will sting with how it ended. There's a missed opportunity while three other Minnesota teams play onward. Those do not come along every year.

At the end of the weekend, the Gophers had one outstanding performance and one that was anything but. We all know which one will be remembered more.

15. One issue that seems to be a yearly one is ice conditions at regionals. When it's a problem at multiple regionals, as it was at Albany and Bridgeport (and Loveland to a lesser extent), something needs to be done. There are no large crowds. There really should be no excuses. Six months of games should not be decided on bad ice.

If the NCAA just wants to hire Fargo's ice team to oversee all future regionals, please go ahead. Scheels Arena was the exception to the rule despite having a five OT game thanks to putting in the extra effort months beforehand. Have to think Spencer Knight would rather play there than kick the net off its moorings a half-dozen times and St. Cloud State seeing leading scorer Easton Brodzinski go down with what appeared to be a major injury. He wasn't the only player who took an odd spill in Albany.

16. Finally, I'm not sure if we learned everything we would want to from this weekend. Half the Big Ten teams - Michigan and Notre Dame - withdrew before the NCAA Tournament began due to Covid protocol. Add in St. Lawrence and it's 3 of 17 teams. 

Playing in a pandemic was likely going to bring complications. Unfortunately for this year's tournament, it did, and then some. I can't imagine the disappointment for the Wolverines and Fighting Irish players to achieve their goal and see it snatched away by something out of their control. It would not surprise me to see either team reach the Frozen Four if they were able to play. Sadly, we'll never know how well each would fare.

Finding the middle ground between taking lessons from what happened on the ice and knowing that nothing is guaranteed is as fine of a line as winning and losing. (It makes the sweeping generalizations made from one game look like concrete opinions.) I am looking forward to the UMass-UMD rematch and seeing Minnesota State and St. Cloud State finally each get their due. 

However, I know nothing is guaranteed during a time where the United States is still experiencing 70K new cases of Covid daily.

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Thursday, March 25, 2021

2021 NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament: Why Your Team Can Win It All (Bridgeport Regional)

Enough parity exists where at least one No. 4 seed has upset a No. 1 seed in every NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament since 2005. The unexpected is more than expected. It is no surprise, in an era where the final at-large bid has won three of the last seven national titles, to see any of the 16 teams reach the Frozen Four.

Makes bracket challenges fun and impossible, even before playing in a global pandemic that already cost one team its chance for a title.

So with that in mind, I thought it would be best to preview the 2021 NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament by showcasing two non-pandemic extremes. First, why each team can win the national championship. Second, why each team will be upset and lose in round 1. Add three players to watch and a "chip on their shoulders" ranking (1 being none and 10 being wanting to prove the world wrong) and there's a preview that covers the bases for your bracket challenge. 

Yesterday (Wednesday) featured the Fargo regional. Tomorrow (Friday) will feature the Loveland regional while the Albany regional goes up later today (Thursday).

Bridgeport Regional

No. 1 Seed: Wisconsin

Why the Badgers will win it all: Two words: Cole. Caufield.

Need more? Caufield, with 28 goals in 30 games, is on pace to have one of the best goal-scoring seasons in the last 20 years of college hockey. The sophomore forward needs the tiniest of openings to change a game and makes an impact on both sides of the ice. Likewise, Dylan Holloway has taken major steps in his sophomore season to become a top collegiate player in his own right. Few NCAA Tournament teams can match Wisconsin (20-9-1) there.

Still need more? Okay. Tony Granato has solved his goaltending issue with the Cameron Rowe-Robbie Beydoun goalie platoon. Both newcomers (Rowe a freshman, Beydoun a graduate transfer from Michigan Tech), are stopping pucks at above a .920% save percentage. The Badgers enter the NCAA Tournament 11-2-1 since January 29th. With high-end talent and a number of upperclassmen leading the way, Wisconsin went from worst to first in the Big Ten. Despite early losses, Wisconsin is finally being that team many were waiting for UW to be - one with the pieces of a national title contender.

Why the Badgers will be upset in round 1: Wisconsin's opponent has seen top offenses and gone Jon Taffer on them. Bemidji State is the only team to defeat Minnesota State (7th in goals per game - Wisconsin sits 3rd) twice this season, finding success shutting down the Mavericks and going toe to toe offensively in victory. The Beavers also went 3-1-0 against Bowling Green (9th in goals per game). 

It would not be a surprise to see Tom Serratore's team find a way to slow down the speedy and skilled Badgers team playing its first NCAA Tournament game. It's a different style of play than Wisconsin played against all season in the Big Ten. Meanwhile, Wisconsin enters giving up a combined nine goals in an overtime win against Penn State and loss to Minnesota. That opening NCAA game brings strange results.

Chip on their shoulder ranking: 4. The Badgers seem hungry in its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2014. This is what Caufield came back for when he had the opportunity to turn pro last season. However, it is tough to say Wisconsin is not getting the respect it deserves between earning the final No. 1 seed over other teams (including UMass) and Caufield being the presumptive Hobey Baker nominee.

Three Players To Watch: #8 F- Cole Caufield (MTL), #4 F- Dylan Holloway (EDM), #21 D- Ty Emberson (ARI)


No. 2 Seed: Massachusetts

Why the Minutemen will win it all: Two words. Cale....wait sorry, this isn't 2019. 

Two more years of experience brings a more mature, experienced Massachusetts (16-5-4) team compared to the 2019 national runner-up. The top three scorers, defender Marc Del Gaizo and goaltenders Filip Lindberg and Matt Murray are all upperclassmen. Greg Carvel has a veteran-laden group, which can be needed to go far in the NCAA Tournament.

At the same time, there is plenty of talent. Bobby Trivigno was the Walter Brown Award winner as the best American playing in New England. Carson Gicewicz put up 13 goals while Zac Jones has been one of the best all-around defenders in college hockey on a defense that allows the second-lowest goals per game. Massachusetts has found different ways to win. The Hockey East conference tournament champions are undefeated (14-0-1) when scoring the first goal. Entering the tournament on a 10-game unbeaten streak (7-0-3) and it is no surprise to see New Mass being a trendy new national championship pick.

Why the Minutemen will be upset in round 1: It's not 2019. Sequels do not always match the highs of the original and it is easy to see Massachusetts come up against a tougher path to the Frozen Four. Lake Superior State is the first western school UMass will see all season and offers a different matchup than the team has been seeing. The Lakers are also undefeated (13-0-1) when scoring first, however, the team has a better record than Massachusetts when playing from behind.

Then there is the fact Massachusetts went 1-4-0 against the two other Hockey East NCAA Tournament teams, Boston College and Boston University. (The record does go to 3-4-2 when including Providence, who was the first team out.) Credit to the Minutemen for beating the teams they need to because it is not easy, but it's a worse record against top teams compared to those in the same tier.

Chip on their shoulder ranking: 8. Massachusetts has a few factors to give the Minutemen a chip on their shoulder, whether it is not getting the No. 1 seed, being the only Eastern team in an east regional, or being doubted after Makar, Mario Ferraro and John Leonard departed early. Anyone surprised at this point just hasn't been paying attention.

Three Players To Watch: #24 D- Zac Jones (NYR), #35 G- Filip Lindberg (MIN), #8 F- Bobby Trivigno (undrafted)


No. 3 Seed: Lake Superior State

Why the Lakers will win it all: Furthering the theme of the Bridgeport regional, WCHA Conference Tournament champion Lake Superior State (19-6-3) enters the NCAA Tournament on a bit of a hot streak. Why not continue?

Damon Whitten's team played its way into the NCAA Tournament, winning six straight and 12 of 14 en route to the Lakers' first tournament appearance since 1996. Ashton Calder has a pair of March hat tricks among his 15 goals this season. The offense is at a high point of late, sitting at 2/3 of a goal higher over the last 10 games than the season average. 

Defensively, Lake Superior State has a Mike Richter Award finalist in goal in Marek Mitens. The Lakers senior is sixth nationally with a .933% save percentage and tough for opposing offenses to solve. Since the winning ways began in mid-February, LSSU has allowed more than two goals only twice.

Why the Lakers will lose in round 1: Perhaps it's fitting that Lake Superior State plays Massachusetts because LSSU faces a team who shares a lot of similarities, several of which can be seen in the UMass section. Both are playing its best hockey. Both won conference tournament championships. Both can win games with goaltending and defense. Both have not lost when scoring the first goal of the game.

From a Lakers perspective, it also means Lake Superior State faces a team whose similar strengths are higher nationally, at least on the stat sheet. The Minutemen have allowed less than two goals per game on the season and a slightly better goal margin (+21) over the last 10 games than LSSU (+19). Massachusetts has the experience edge as well, which can come into play when the two teams face off.

Chip on their shoulder ranking: 3. Yes, there's the "WCHA does not get enough respect" card all three conference schools can play this season. However, there are three WCHA teams and Lake Superior State is a No. 3 seed. Add in the fact this is the first NCAA Men's Hockey Tournament appearance for LSSU in 25 years - Jeff Jackson coached the last team before starting up the USNTDP - and the return of a 90s dynasty makes for a fun story without the chip.

Three Players To Watch: #30 G- Marek Mitens (undrafted), #16 F- Ashton Calder (undrafted), #26 F- Pete Veillette (undrafted)


No. 4 Seed: Bemidji State

Why the Beavers will win it all: Playing in a regional situated two blocks from the P.T. Barnum Museum, Bemidji State (15-9-3), the school hailing from Paul Bunyan's fictional hometown, is no stranger to the circus that comes with shocking the world. Tom Serratore's shining moment in his two decades being behind the Nothern Minnesota bench is leading the No. 16 overall seed Beavers to the 2009 Frozen Four, winning two games by a combined 9-2 score.

This season, BSU has been at its best when playing against the WCHA's best. Goaltender Zach Driscoll is the latest in a run of Beavers goalies who can steal games, starting 26 of 27 games and entering the NCAA Tournament with a .924% save percentage. 

The team thrives defensively in low-scoring games, winning five of 15 games this season by a 2-0 or 2-1 score (excluding an empty-net goal). BSU won another 4-1 while being outshot 36-10. In a tournament where every goal matters, being comfortable playing in that environment can be a recipe for history repeating.

Why the Beavers will lose in round 1: The low-scoring defense will be tested by Wisconsin's high-scoring offense. As good as the WCHA's top offenses have been, Bemidji State has not faced an individual player like Cole Caufield and Dylan Holloway. Trying to stop one opens up opportunities for the other. With Caufield averaging almost a goal per game, it will take an elite defensive performance. While BSU has been at its best in the third period (+9 goal margin), it might be too late against the Badgers.

Bemidji State plays as a team to the sum of its parts compared to a group of individuals. It shows as BSU features the lowest goals per game of any NCAA Tournament team playing (St. Lawrence is lower), with its 2.81 average being 29th nationally. Ethan Somoza is the only Beaver with double-digit goals on a team that already played 27. 

Chip on their shoulder ranking: 7. This was going to be a 3 like LSSU, but a pair of misspellings in the NCAA Tournament Selection Show puts "Bimidji State" up to a 5 for the Beavers' first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2010. Add in being on the bubble and getting in to the surprise of some, along with being the only team without an NHL Draft pick, and it goes up to a 7 for Bemidji State.

Three Players To Watch: #33 G- Zach Driscoll (undrafted), #14 F- Alex Ierullo (undrafted), #9 F- Ethan Somoza

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Friday, November 15, 2019

College Hockey Mailbag: Contenders & Pretenders, Gopher Football, & More (Vol. II)

After a hiatus, it's time to bring back the college hockey mailbag.

Let's dig in for this week.

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Nothing like starting a college hockey mailbag with some football talk, right?

Minnesota's win over Penn State in a battle of 8-0 teams hit a sweet spot as someone following decades of Gopher football. (And I say this as someone surrounded by Nittany Lions fans Saturday. Credit to them for being great sports.) Seeing a maroon and gold crowd rush TCF Bank Stadium was night and day from previous times opposing fans did at the Metrodome. The only similar games in recent history that brought up the same feeling were the last two Axe wins and seeing Minnesota celebrating winning the Little Brown Jug in person in 2014.

None of those games, however, hold the same value for Minnesota from a stakes perspective as Saturday's win. The vast majority of fans rushing the field were not alive during Gopher football's glory days. Throw in the fact that the story has not been completely written and it's tough to come up with a comparable win for Gopher hockey.

Winning the 2002 national championship after 23 years seems too big for the occasion. The 0.6 victory over North Dakota shares more with the Axe and Little Brown Jug games. While Minnesota hockey has its share of big wins, sustained success makes it difficult to reach the highs of Minnesota football. If there is a recent college hockey comparison, it's likely Michigan Tech or Bowling Green returning to the NCAA Tournament in recent years after decades of disappointment.

The closest Gopher hockey victory to Saturday's football win I can come up with would be March 3, 2012 against Wisconsin. Trailing 1-0 in the third period, Minnesota scored a shorthanded goal by Erik Haula and a game-winning-goal by Nate Schmidt that earned one of the loudest roars at Mariucci. Given the Gophers were on a three-season NCAA Tournament drought and won the MacNaughton Cup that night, it's one that sticks out in memory.

Monday, November 4, 2019

College Hockey Stock Report: November 4, 2019

Welcome to November where the Ivy League men's teams finally play.

Seriously, it will be good to not need to bring up that fact each week. Everyone is underway. Everyone! The Dartmouth men's hockey Twitter is now back up to 80-20 hockey versus dog content just in time as teams are already tossing teddy bears.

And there will be plenty to discuss as conference play begins in full. With a last-minute goal, Ohio State opened its Big Ten slate by sweeping Michigan to advance to 6-1-1 on the season. Notre Dame sophomore defender Nick Leivermann continued to score at Mariucci and nowhere else. The Boston College men's and women's teams each beat Providence. Army upset AIC. Long Island University got its first program win ever by defeating St. Michael's 5-2 on Friday.

As always, here's what is going on throughout the college hockey landscape. This week's stock report recaps who is doing well, who is on their way down, and what trends should be followed.

Monday, October 21, 2019

College Hockey Stock Report: October 21, 2019

Another weekend gone answered some questions.

We learned Wisconsin can win defensive battles. We learned the Stefanos Lekkas and Jeremy Swayman experiences continue on for another season. We learned it's never too early for a players-only meeting, as was the case after Penn State followed up a 7-0 shutout win with a 4-0 shutout loss. (We're also learning that Hockey Bear is taking no prisoners this year.) We heard the Battle Hymn in Minneapolis, had an amazing matchup in Mankato, first wins for Merrimack and Colgate, and upsets in Columbus and Boston.

We saw the first-ever instance of 3x3 OT in women's D1 hockey when Minnesota State "defeated" Ohio State to take the extra conference point. Once again, Robert Morris took it to a perennial powerhouse, tying and falling 6-5 to Clarkson.

All in all, it was a quality weekend. Here's what is going on throughout the college hockey landscape as this week's stock report recaps who is doing well, who is on their way down and what trends should be followed.

Thursday, September 26, 2019

60 Days. 60 Teams. 600 Words (or Less): Massachusetts

University of Massachusetts


2018-19 Record: 31-10-0 (18-6-0, 1st in Hockey East)
Head Coach: Greg Carvel, 4th Year
Top returning scorers: Mitchell Chafee (18G-24A) and John Leonard (16G-24A)
Top returning goaltenders: Matt Murray (Jr.) and Filip Lindberg (So.)

We've spent a lot of time in this series discussing teams being the next UMass. Now it's time to discuss where the Minutemen go next.

To begin, looking ahead to better days won't work anymore.

Greg Carvel's team at one point was the flagship for failure, losing 22 of the final 23 games during his first season. (Even in victory, the Minutemen were heavily outshot and outplayed). After the lone win, he said a player (Brett Boeing) in his first game with the team was the best player on the ice. It would get better in the future with the recruiting classes on the horizon.

Turns out that might have been the understatement of the century. Taking away the ultimate program-changer in Cale Makar, Carvel's NewMass recruiting classes lit a new fire in the Minutemen. UMass had the nation's top power-play (28.5%) and was among the nation's top-7 in team offense and defense. Nine of the top 11 scorers plus both goalies on the team that reached the national championship game were underclassmen. Seven of those players return.

What's New: To the surprise of no one, the program-changer is now helping change Colorado's fortunes. Makar, the first top-10 pick to spend his second season after being drafted in college hockey since James van Riemsdyk, spent a four-day stretch winning the Hobey Baker Award, playing in the national championship game and scoring a Stanley Cup playoff goal. Fellow sophomore D Mario Ferraro also departed, signing with San Jose.

Speaking to the excellence of Massachusetts' season, not one, but two UMass players were drafted in their second year of eligibility. After being the one to prove Denver wrong, Marc Del Gaizo went to Nashville in the fourth round. Filip Lindberg's play down the stretch helped make him Paul Fenton's final pick as Minnesota GM.

Carvel brings in nine freshmen - five forwards, three defenders, and goalie Alex Camarre. D Zac Jones was a third-round draft pick by the New York Rangers.

Closing Thoughts: It's not exactly a bad thing to be unsure where UMass goes from here. Carvel's program is in uncharted waters.

A player like Makar comes around college hockey once or twice a decade. He makes players around him better. Makar's effect on the Minutemen last season and the game when he's on the ice cannot be understated. Yet the fact remains Massachusetts' turnaround wasn't the work of one player. Success breeds success. That was the case with a team led by underclassmen where there's enough talent left to retool special teams and defense, showing UMass is not a one-year wonder.

Massachusetts keeps an All-American in Mitchell Chafee. Two solid options remain in goal between Lindberg and Matt Murray (no, not that one although he did go to Pittsburgh's development camp). Del Gaizo and Ty Farmer, while both lose their D partner, both look capable of building upon successful freshmen seasons.

Even before a national runner-up finish, NewMass shares little with the Zoo Mass era. Teams may not need to fear the triangle, but for a team picked to finish sixth in Hockey East, there is a foundation to build upon the latest era for the flagship.

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Friday, May 31, 2019

College Hockey Stock Report (May 2019)

Yes, it's the offseason. October continues to be months away from even asking whether it is October yet. That doesn't stop news from happening, however.

Plenty happened in the six weeks since Minnesota Duluth became the first school in 14 years to repeat as men's hockey national champions and two months since Wisconsin defeated Minnesota to win the 2018-19 women's hockey national championship. Even though it's the offseason.

So with it being the end of May, here's a look at what's trending up and what's trending down in college hockey nationally since mid-April in Buffalo.

Wednesday, May 15, 2019

2019 Men's Frozen Four Features (Multiple Outlets)



Finally getting around to posting my work from the 2019 men's Frozen Four in Buffalo. Overall, I enjoyed the weekend. It's easy to see why Buffalo hosts so many NHL and international events.  

While there, I wrote for three separate outlets: College Hockey, Inc., Minnesota Hockey Magazine and the Minnesota Wild's website Wild.com. The work can be found below with explanations.